Sweden, Stocks and an Election
On April 22, I asked if Sweden’s strategy of herd immunity is the only answer for Covid 19. At the time, Sweden had about 130 more deaths per million than the U.S. and I said it will be interesting to revisit the data after the worldwide lockdowns end. In September, the U.S.A., surpassed Sweden’s deaths per million as you can see in the data below from Statista.com.
Anders Tegnell, the top epidemiologist of Sweden’s Public Health Agency, has been attacked and berated for not going along with the world’s insane lockdown experiment. Stockholm got hit hard early with Corona because many people had gone to Italy for vacation. Tegnell has admitted that they failed to protect their nursing homes and their deaths per million would be much lower if they had. You can see in the chart below from Statistica that almost all of their Covid deaths were people who were over 70 years old.
I also wrote that I think you should assume you will eventually be exposed to Covid. I outlined that the best strategy is to be metabolically healthy and cut the carbs and processed foods. It is disgusting that governments are happy to tell you to social distance and wear a mask and are still silent about not eating donuts and pizza. Getting the world physically healthy is a much wiser strategy.
Since April, I have learned about the importance of high levels of vitamin D. This helps explains why darker skinned people in Northern climates died at higher rates. The best way to get vitamin D is to get mid-day sun exposure. Here is some further information on Vitamin D and Covid outcomes:
Several studies have brought to light that patients with vitamin D deficiency have a worse outcome in COVID-19.
A growing body of research has found evidence that getting enough vitamin D is associated with better coronavirus outcomes.
Adults with vitamin D deficiency are at greater risk for severe COVID-19 infection and death
Humans have not evolved to sit inside all day behind a computer screen. Make sure to get outside this winter and get your Vitamin D levels optimal.
I have also learned that Corona virus is spread much more in dry indoor areas. If you are concerned, please read the following and consider purchasing a humidifier or boiling water in your home this winter to possibly reduce your risks as we all stay indoors more.
A relative humidity of 40 to 60 percent could reduce the spread of the viruses and their absorption through the nasal mucous membrane.
Study Shows Corona Virus Thrives in Dry Air with Low Humidity
Be Safe Heading into this Viral Winter
Something Nefarious is Going on
They told us we just needed to lockdown for two weeks to make sure the hospitals would not get overwhelmed. Quickly mission-creep overtook us and I am surprised and disappointed with what this has turned into. I never expected to still see the plastic shields everywhere and mandatory mask rules still in place in October. It is clear that this virus is tracking the same Gompertz Curve that every other one follows. It is dying out, so instead they are trying to scare us with a casedemic. Click the link below to hear what the inventor of the PCR test said about his own test.
On March 26, Anthony Fauci and two others wrote in the New England Journal of Medicine: … “the case fatality rate may be considerably less than 1%. This suggests that the overall clinical consequences of Covid-19 may ultimately be more akin to those of a severe seasonal influenza…”
On October 5, Dr. Michael Ryan, the WHO’s Head of Emergencies said that the World Health Organization’s best estimate is that 10% of the world’s 7.8 billion people have been infected. If we divide the 1,061,000 deaths into 780 million cases, we get an infection fatality rate of only .14%! That is inline with many flu seasons and far below the 1968 Hong Kong Flu that killed between 1 to 4 million worldwide. Why was that flu not front-page news for a year?
Now we have WHO’s, David Navarro saying, “We in the World Health Organization do not advocate lockdowns as the primary means of control of this virus.” He also said “…lockdowns just have one consequence that you must never ever belittle, and that is making poor people an awful lot poorer.
The popular lie we have to trust the science has become the new “Iraq has weapons of mass destruction.” There never was evidence that lockdowns saved lives. The whole idea was to have less people die in the first few months. The curve was supposed to get flatter, not stop people from dying. About 15% of Swedes chose to wear masks and they had no lockdowns, kept schools, borders, and restaurants open, and life is 100% normal now.
If you are interested in learning more about Covid from an Irishman who focuses on data, this is the best video on the internet.
People were so critical of Brazil for not having more restrictions and they have right around the same death rate as their neighbors in Bolivia, Peru, and Argentina. These countries have had the strictest of strict lockdowns for six months or more and it is obviously not working. Belarus, Japan, Korea, and Taiwan all had excellent outcomes without lockdowns.
This was clearly one of the worst man-made decisions in the history of the world. You can read about why lockdowns don’t work in these academic papers here, here, and here. The last one is from the highly respected Lancet and finds “Rapid border closures, full lockdowns, and wide-spread testing were not associated with COVID-19 mortality per million people.”
The global healthcare mafia tried to create a global pandemic over the not so deadly Swine Flu in 2009. Der Spiegiel, the German Magazine, in 2010, wrote:
Swine flu kept the world in suspense for almost a year. A massive vaccination campaign was mounted to put a stop to the anticipated pandemic. But, as it turned out, it was a relatively harmless strain of the flu virus. How, and why, did the world overreact?
There is an Evil that is using Covid 19 as cover to take away more of your rights, track you, and make billions by scaring you. The European Central Bank is working on a digital Euro. There are way too many strange articles about the U.S. running out of coins. It seems obvious that the elites are trying to abolish physical cash. I am fearful that more Unconstitutional mass surveillance and mandatory vaccines might be part of their plan. Do your own research, but a rushed vaccine from companies who “cannot be sued for monetary damages in court,” is not something I am signing up for. Before you decide, take the time to watch Mike Wallace discuss the fallout from the 1976 vaccine created for the Swine Flu.
Something is not right with the world’s reaction to Covid. It is no longer about a virus. It is all about power and control.
I still believe that every person is born with unalienable rights and that “Governments are instituted among men, deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed, – That whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new government.” It is sad to see the indifference today. Governments were set up to be servants of the people and that has been flipped. Eternal vigilance is the price of liberty.
Markets and the Election
In a few weeks, the American people get to once again choose between the lesser of two evils. Many people are concerned about what will happen next. I could waste your time with a bunch of useless statistics like from 1952 to June of 2020, U.S. stocks returned 10.6% under Democrats and 4.8% under Republicans.
The reality is that the President of the U.S. does very little to affect the stock market. After a 20 year bull market and bubble in stocks, George W. Bush was guaranteed to see a recession during his first term and we were in recession before 9-11. Obama began his Presidency at the end of a deep recession that caused the S&P 500 to drop 57%. It was almost certain that stocks would do well when they had dropped to those low valuations.
Even if you could predict who would win the Senate and the Presidency, it is still impossible to predict what the Government is going to do. Obama promised to put all bills sent to him online for five days before signing them. Almost every American is for that, but he didn’t come through. I also supported his promise to shut down Guantanamo. It is still open. The rise in health insurance premiums since the Affordable (LOL) Care Act has really hurt working people. GM pays more on health insurance than it does for steel. Starbucks spends more on insurance than they do on coffee beans! Despite soaring health insurance and medical care, stocks did really well in Obama’s 8 years.
Trump’s biggest election promises were to build a wall that Mexico would pay for and drain the swamp. I am not holding my breath. If he was really going to take down the power-elite, why didn’t he protect Jeffrey Epstein better? The 2017 Tax and Jobs Cuts was the greatest benefit the government has granted me in my adult life, yet without the Federal Reserve starting Quantitative Easing 4, stocks would likely not be up at all since January of 2017. The lockdown and subsequent actions of congress where way more important for stocks than presidential policy. Both parties would have wrecked the economy with lockdowns this year and both parties are intent on engaging in Modern Monetary Theory whether they will admit to it or not.
Investing based on your politics is a recipe for losing money. The government runs itself and the President has a lot less influence and importance than you think. We were warned about this by Woodrow Wilson when he said:
A great industrial nation is controlled by its system of credit. Our system of credit is privately concentrated. The growth of the nation, therefore, and all our activities are in the hands of a few men who, even if their action be honest and intended for the public interest, are necessarily concentrated upon the great undertakings in which their own money is involved and who necessarily, by very reason of their own limitations, chill and check and destroy genuine economic freedom. This is the greatest question of all, and to this statesmen must address themselves with an earnest determination to serve the long future and the true liberties of men.
…we have come to be one of the worst ruled, one of the most completely controlled and dominated, governments in the civilized world—no longer a government by free opinion, no longer a government by conviction and the vote of the majority, but a government by the opinion and the duress of small groups of dominant men.
In Dwight D. Eisenhower’s farewell address, he warned us:
The potential for the disastrous rise of misplaced power exists and will persist. We must never let the weight of this combination endanger our liberties or democratic processes. We should take nothing for granted. Only an alert and knowledgeable citizenry can compel the proper meshing of the huge industrial and military machinery of defense with our peaceful methods and goals, so that security and liberty may prosper together.
Even Vladamir Putin warned us when he said:
Presidents come and go but the politics remain the same. Do you know why that is? Because the bureaucracy has a lot of power. So a person is elected…then people with briefcases come and visit him…and then they explain what to do- and the whole rhetoric changes, you see?
I have tried my best to point out that stock returns and presidential policies are not correlated. Even if I am wrong about the U.S. President just being a cog in the wheel of a bigger machine, trying to predict the future is nearly impossible. Remember how wrong all the “respected” polls were the week of the election in 2016? Do you remember how futures absolutely tanked that night and then stocks soared for a few months?
Please don’t try to time the market based on politics. It is likely going to be a close race and even if an alien came from the future to tell you who won, I don’t think that would give you any edge on what the stock market is going to do over the next four years. You can’t predict the Presidential and Senate elections. But if you could, you can’t predict what these people will then do in office. They are professional liars. How many of you predicted John Roberts would vote for Obamacare? If you could predict their policies, you still can’t predict the geopolitical events like a war with Iraq or Covid 19 that really drive markets. Stock market pros don’t spend much time on politics. It is far better to watch what the global central banks are doing. They have the real power.
Without the dates, could you even spot the JFK assassination in the chart of the Dow?